Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.155041 0.174948 0.195886 0.219498 0.245331 0.272681 0.303773
2025-03-23 0.130460 0.157605 0.187671 0.223260 0.264046 0.309136 0.362557
2025-03-30 0.110189 0.141434 0.177645 0.222325 0.275561 0.336542 0.411232
2025-04-06 0.094668 0.128449 0.169241 0.221460 0.285821 0.361817 0.457540
2025-04-13 0.082252 0.117549 0.161816 0.220411 0.294843 0.385105 0.501590
2025-04-20 0.073705 0.110448 0.158137 0.223164 0.307979 0.413231 0.551905
2025-04-27 0.067831 0.106137 0.157414 0.229206 0.325044 0.446375 0.609103
2025-05-04 0.061087 0.099832 0.153321 0.230181 0.335121 0.470550 0.655290
2025-05-11 0.056762 0.096481 0.152849 0.235726 0.351131 0.502559 0.712149
2025-05-18 0.053042 0.093604 0.152694 0.241457 0.367332 0.535036 0.770246
2025-05-25 0.047730 0.087743 0.147701 0.239856 0.373079 0.553429 0.809884
2025-06-01 0.043408 0.082995 0.143933 0.239635 0.380490 0.574004 0.852678
2025-06-08 0.039089 0.077926 0.139427 0.238209 0.386311 0.592873 0.894178
2025-06-15 0.036725 0.075901 0.139463 0.243515 0.401954 0.625723 0.955608
2025-06-22 0.033420 0.071901 0.136030 0.243209 0.409171 0.646744 1.000969
2025-06-29 0.030411 0.068107 0.132619 0.242654 0.415835 0.666983 1.045535
2025-07-06 0.027642 0.064457 0.129149 0.241726 0.421748 0.686125 1.088809
2025-07-13 0.025811 0.062402 0.128224 0.244799 0.433811 0.714428 1.145710
2025-07-20 0.024684 0.061612 0.129421 0.251364 0.451453 0.751302 1.215695
2025-07-27 0.022827 0.059144 0.127444 0.252446 0.460370 0.775282 1.267259
2025-08-03 0.021809 0.058316 0.128358 0.258432 0.477237 0.811518 1.337470
2025-08-10 0.020883 0.057587 0.129387 0.264609 0.494530 0.848712 1.409733
2025-08-17 0.019038 0.054634 0.126022 0.262891 0.498792 0.865982 1.452520